Australian Weekly Market Report

Published March 1, 2019 by Tim Marwedel

Comment

As a direct result of last week’s strong market rally, we had a large weekly offering of just below 50,000 bales. With the auction in Fremantle the week before giving a poor lead into the sale in Melbourne on Tuesday, some exporters were expecting the worst. However modest loses were recorded and they weren’t to the extent of the loses realised in Fremantle the Thursday prior. This encouraged a much more positive market tone on Wednesday with prices improving marginally again on Thursday. The close in Fremantle was stronger than that in Melbourne and Sydney. There was a small but useful superfine offering in Sydney. Some volume of extra-fine types (13.0/16.0 micron) that were somewhat drought affected were keenly sort after by Italian and Chinese interests. Most were short length and contained a degree of tender but still sold in a competitive market.

AWEX Eastern Indicator compared with 22/02/2019

Eastern Indicator

Close: 2016

Change in %: -0.54%

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Schneider Indicators compared with 22/02/2019

15 Micron (*)

Close: 2,910

Change in %: +1.89

16 Micron

Close: 2,683

Change in %: -0.11

17 Micron

Close:  2,532

Change in %: -0.91

18 Micron

Close: 2,390

Change in %: -0.75

19 Micron

Close: 2,205

Change in %: -5.22

Each indicator is expressed by a number representing a market quotation for a selected range of types and is not a price expression and it’s not influenced by currency fluctuations.

Wool indicators are anyway based on Australian Dollar.

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Forecast

It will be another relatively large offering next week. Just over 46,000 bales will be offered including a three-day sale in Melbourne. The offering quality is on the decline but the market price is not being adversely affected. All types and descriptions remain keenly sort after and sale volumes the following few weeks are expected to be around 15/20% less than the current bale numbers. The sale result yesterday should help the market stability early into next week.

Auction offering – current week

Selling Centres for week 35

Market          Sale          Offered          Sold          Passed In

North                    S 35                12341                    11676                  5.4%

South                   M 35               25100                   22816                  9.1%

West                     F 35                11507                    10354                10.0%

Auction offering – next week

Market          Sale          Sale days          Volume

North                   S 36                 W-T                            10712

South                  M 36                T-W-T                         26597

West                     F 36                 W-T                            8819

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